Posted on 02/24/2016 8:42:10 AM PST by Torcert
Analyses of the subjects ratings revealed three varieties of stupid mistakes. The first is when a person’s confidence outstrips their skill, as when a Pittsburgh man robbed two banks in broad daylight without wearing a disguise, believing that lemon juice he had rubbed on his face would make him invisible to security cameras. [..]
The confidence-skill disconnect has been dubbed the Dunning-Kruger effect, after a study by social psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger. Dunning and Kruger had Cornell undergraduates perform tests of humor, logic, and grammar, and then rate how well they think they performed compared to other subjects in the study. The worst performing subjects, whose scores put them in the 12th percentile, estimated that they had performed in the 62nd percentile. Summarizing the findings, Dunning noted, “Poor performers—and we are all poor performers at some things—fail to see the flaws in their thinking or the answers they lack.†When we think we are at our best is sometimes when we are at our objective worst.
As any number of political scandals illustrate, the second type of stupid mistake involves impulsive acts—when our behavior seems out of control. In the scandal that became known as Weinergate, former U.S. representative Anthony Weiner sent lewd texts and pictures of himself to women he met on Facebook. [..]
The final variety of stupid mistake involves lapses of attention—Homer Simpsonesque D’oh moments.
It is, of course, unrealistic to think that we could ever eliminate human error. To err will always be human. However, this research gives us a better description of our failings and foibles, and a place to start in thinking about interventions and prescriptions to help us err less.
(Excerpt) Read more at scientificamerican.com ...
Myself, for one. You beat me to that one so I'll just bump it to the top.
Tom whom is your implication being made?
Well put - quite sad really Scientific American was a great magazine before they were sold off.
Most of the articles belong in Time or Newsweek... so sad.
The editors don’t seem to know what a controlling variable is. The amount of junk science published today is staggering - and this Science-fluff magazine shows just how silly it is now.
Silence in the face of evil is also evil.
Sadly the similarities are becoming all too frightening.
Yes, it was one of my favorite reads back in the day... Their diverging into scientific activism for Global Cooling was reason that is not the case as of late.
Can you backup your assertion with real facts in the form of excerpts where I supposedly had this failing?
I know you said something very deep but I not sure I’m smart enough to understand it.
You shouldn't presume ignorance from people who disagree with you. It's delusional.
IMO, Dunning and Kruger drew unsupported conclusions. The effects they observed were not innate to the subjects they studied, but a result of a skewed PC feedback cycle which disallows honest responses to people's actual levels of competency. And, in PC form, they refused to acknowledge the true meaning of their research in order to protect that PC system. As a result, by assuming PC feedback is accurate, they concluded that the bloated self-estimates it creates is a reflection of the subjects themselves, rather than the result of the socially demanded erroneous feedback cycle.
The study is therefore itself PC garbage. A perfect GIGO example, in fact.
Given that your response was bereft of any manner intellectual arguments and more akin to the school yard if confirmation of the assertion.
Thank you for your very appropriate input to the discussion.
Such people who dwell in the truth are unfortunately relegated to such journalistic back waters.
Did you actually do ANY research before making such a statement?
Or was it your vain hope that the mere implication made by your comment supposed to suffice?
ping
Actually, their study didn’t get into why the students’ self-assessments of competence were skewed. It could be from many reasons - social stigma of pride for the competents, embarrassment for the incompetents, incompetents’ inability to think logically and impersonally, or, your favorite, PC ideas about equality of ideas, to name a few.
They did say that incompetent people seemed to be much less able to accurately judge their own and others’ competence.
What you wrote, brother. And how!
Their questions were constructed to avoid the subject in a very specify manner. Like I said, I believe it's a false study. YMMV
Stupid mistake by Mears.
I was having lunch with a friend who said she ran out of the little stickers with her return address on them that she put on her mail.She asked me if I knew where to order them.
I told her that I had loads of extras at home and that I would give her some.
She looked at me as if I had 2 heads.
.
And sadly these days many have un-moored themselves from reality and logic. And sadder still many do not realize they have done so and are... as you said..motivated by emotion and other drives.
Well, who here hasn't, on occasion, confused the invisible ink trick with the invisible man trick?
Guess they know less about breathtakingly stupid mistakes than they think.
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