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To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

All the “got to stop Trump crowd,” seem to think that there is plenty of time for them to do that. The clock is ticking very quickly. Tomorrow is NV, and Trump is expected to win big there. That will give him 3 big wins in a row. Super Tuesday is just another week away, and the last polls show Trump leading in about 12 of the 14 contests, but most of the polls are pre-NH, SC and of course NV.

If Trump wins 10, 11, 12 13 or even all 14 contests, the Rubio and Cruz campaigns will be looking at a big delegate gap to make up. Will their donors keep donating to the guys who perpetually come in 2nd and 3rd, and will their voters keep voting for them, or will they start voting for the guy who actually is winning?

If Cruz and Rubio don’t win at least 2 or 3 of the Super Tuesday contests each, they will be in real trouble.

Right after Super Tuesday there are contests on March 5, 6, 8 and 12. It will take a great deal of money to compete in all these contests, and if you haven’t won much of anything, the likelihood of winning them is minimal. Then on March 15, there are 6 WINNER TAKE ALL contests.

I think that both Rubio and Cruz may find themselves out of the race in just another 3 weeks.

Of course, I could be wrong, but I think the “anti-Trump” crowd is wrong to think that this campaign will drag on and end in a brokered convention.


9 posted on 02/22/2016 8:48:34 PM PST by euram
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To: euram

Good analysis, but not only do they not have time, they have no money left. Conservatives can start to look down ticket and see if we can primary some GOPe members, and get candidates for purple districts. Hillary is a low energy candidate with no coattails. This will be a wave election. We can win in areas we couldn’t before.


27 posted on 02/22/2016 9:18:07 PM PST by Vince Ferrer
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