You would expect, if there are problems, that initial unemployment claims would rise. However, they have not risen. This is a highly accurate number that is reported every week.
A lot of people who are working multiple part-time jobs are probably not eligible to file and collect if they lose one or more of them.
My ex filed for unemployment and was $700 too short to qualify. People are making less,reduced hours to avoid obamacare, several part time jobs that pay less for chronically unemployed. That must impact the numbers giving a false estimate of numbers?