Well allow me to put this in some perspective. In 2012, South Carolina moved their scheduled February 28 primary up to January 21. So we are not even talking about the same time frame. Romney may have increased his poll standing 8.5% since Iowa but he was not the established frontrunner like Trump already was, so he had some room to climb as he achieved that frontrunner status. As it turned out, Romney finished a distant second to Gingrich in SC and only got 5 delegates out of it. (As punishment for moving up the primary, the RNC took away half the delegates to be awarded).
Same situation in 2008. SC moved up their scheduled late February primary to January 19th. The RNC punished them that time as well, taking away half the delegates. Once again, McCain was not the frontrunner like Trump was at the time of the Iowa caucus, so he had some room to grow in the polls as well, after a disappointing 4th place finish in Iowa.
I am trying to look at things CLINICALLY and here’s how I see it...
If you look at Trump’s victory numbers from the past three states, he’s having a hard time cracking the 35% barrier. All polls from the past several months consistently show that (if you include margin of error ), 35% or less is the number that he has.
That tells me that 65% of Republican voters are NOT convinced that he should be the nominee and he has ways to go to convinced them.
Unlike Hillary, Trump is lucky that he is contending with five other candidates whose votes are SPLIT among them.
Now with Jeb Bush gone, it will get even more interesting.
Note that Donald Trump Has Less than 5% of the Delegates He Needs to Win the Nomination.
Let’s see how he does when the candidates whittle down to at most, three, then we’re talking.
And all others combined have .0005%
Leon Wolf is utterly insane.
On the night of the election, when three percent of the vote is in, he will be tweeting “TRUMP WILL LOSE! Only 2% of the vote has gone to him!”
I guess we’re going to be treated to this crap every day until Trump is sworn in.
Leon Wolf just can’t stop himself. LOL!
Get ready for President Trump!
LOL - yeah I remember all those large rallies where McCain and Romney would pull in thousands of cheering citizens.../s
Leon H. Wolf's delusional... What an idiot...
Red State is going to need to be put on a suicide watch in a few weeks after Trump clears Super Tuesday. Bunch of eGOP cowards.
Gee, then why are you so freaked out, ol Leon?
Cause you know the delegates lining up for Trump in the states to come, especially the SEC and then IL, NY, MA, RI, PA, MI, VT, CT, DE, WV. In short, Leon, old pal, you know if someone doesn’t come up with 200 delegates quick, fast, and in a hurry your GOPe is sunk.
Trump did not dominate. He was expected to get 38% of the vote. He got 32%. Together Cruz and Rubio got 44% and the rest combined for about 18%.
Rubio has just been endorsed by Mitt Romney. It is clear now that Rubio is the candidate of the GOPe.
Cruz needs to pick up all the also ran votes and some from Rubio.