Posted on 02/21/2016 6:14:54 AM PST by Praxeologue
Well allow me to put this in some perspective. In 2012, South Carolina moved their scheduled February 28 primary up to January 21. So we are not even talking about the same time frame. Romney may have increased his poll standing 8.5% since Iowa but he was not the established frontrunner like Trump already was, so he had some room to climb as he achieved that frontrunner status. As it turned out, Romney finished a distant second to Gingrich in SC and only got 5 delegates out of it. (As punishment for moving up the primary, the RNC took away half the delegates to be awarded).
Same situation in 2008. SC moved up their scheduled late February primary to January 19th. The RNC punished them that time as well, taking away half the delegates. Once again, McCain was not the frontrunner like Trump was at the time of the Iowa caucus, so he had some room to grow in the polls as well, after a disappointing 4th place finish in Iowa.
I am trying to look at things CLINICALLY and here’s how I see it...
If you look at Trump’s victory numbers from the past three states, he’s having a hard time cracking the 35% barrier. All polls from the past several months consistently show that (if you include margin of error ), 35% or less is the number that he has.
That tells me that 65% of Republican voters are NOT convinced that he should be the nominee and he has ways to go to convinced them.
Unlike Hillary, Trump is lucky that he is contending with five other candidates whose votes are SPLIT among them.
Now with Jeb Bush gone, it will get even more interesting.
Note that Donald Trump Has Less than 5% of the Delegates He Needs to Win the Nomination.
Let’s see how he does when the candidates whittle down to at most, three, then we’re talking.
And all others combined have .0005%
Redstate aka Ted State
Hotair aka Hot Gas
Town hall aka Town Hacks
Rush and Levin the DC hacks peddle there lies and spin daily .
Leon Wolf is utterly insane.
On the night of the election, when three percent of the vote is in, he will be tweeting “TRUMP WILL LOSE! Only 2% of the vote has gone to him!”
If I were Trump, I would be looking for a way to get above 40%. His first spike came from putting an immigration policy in writing. Maybe time to release another policy platform. A good place to start would be the federal budget. Both parties just signed on for another deficit explosion. A week or stump speeches on the irresponsible budget and the long term consequences. If he gets attacked by Cruz and Rubio, accuse them of being part of the problem. The budget is a topic you can hammer now and come back to in the general.
By the way, I am not a Trump supporter. I would prefer Cruz, but I will vote for the Republican candidate in November. Even if it is (wince) Rubio.
I guess we’re going to be treated to this crap every day until Trump is sworn in.
Migrated NE retirees in FL are a factor in his FL numbers.
Hillary wants Trump!You and other cowering ninnys might be the only ones who care what Hillary wants.
Leon Wolf just can’t stop himself. LOL!
Get ready for President Trump!
I guarantee you the outcome will be based on who the defendant is (Cruz most likely loses, Obama definitely would winYou need to get up to speed.
Obama produced a birth certificate from Hawaii, American soil. Cruz's birth certificate is from Canada, a foreign country.
If anyone is going to take Obama to court (it's too late anyway) they will have to provide proof his BC is fake and then provide proof of where it was he was born.
That’s a strange job title, but it seems to fit.
I can’t find my glasses right now, but it looks like that boy is so upset he put his head on upside down!
You are absolutely, 100% on the mark.
“Salem talk radio spent all week absolutely trashing Trump. As did Red State, Rush, Levin, and to a lesser stealthier degree Hannity.
They have no influence. None.”
Most people only respond to it intuitively right now, but soon they will see the objective fact that the post Wm. F. Buckley ‘conservative media’ - print, online and radio cheapjacks, are for the most part warp and weft of the Republican establishment. They urged patience, caution and conformity the whole way during this last quarter century. They bit by bit allowed ‘neocon’ to displace conservative. While we frogs were being boiled, they are the ones who told us to hang on, it would just be a little longer.
Their day is done. They are the Wizard of Oz, with the curtain around his feet.
LOL - yeah I remember all those large rallies where McCain and Romney would pull in thousands of cheering citizens.../s
Leon H. Wolf's delusional... What an idiot...
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