http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html
Oh, I know, I know... "but the election is 9 months away!!!"
But here's the point - this is the evidence we have NOW. Trump will lose, based on his unfavorables.
So there is two pieces of evidence that he'll lose in the general and Cruz would do better. Can you provide any evidence beyond primary plurality voting (which means *nothing* in the general) that would indicate otherwise?
I am sorry bolobaby. I know you put a lot of effort out to get your favorability rating chart. But that is not sufficient evidence. What is the favorability chart for his Democrat competitor, namely Hillary and Bernie? You are comparing favorability with Republican primary competitors and Trump is beating them in the polls. Trump looks favored to win in SC. So favorability does not translate to a vicotry or similary unfavorability does not translate into a defeat. If he wins the Republican primary he will be compared to the favorability of the Dem candidate. But it will be policy that will make the difference and I think the country has had enough of the socialist progressive left Democrats.