Could be :-) While I would like Cruz to come in first (unlikely) or second (more likely), my tactical concern is that Rubio end up fourth: if he finishes third over Kasich that will cement Rubio as the establishment alternative, and if he finishes third over Cruz there will be no end to his establishmentarian jubilation.
I’m expecting Cruz to finish 5th or 6th...NH just doesn’t play well for True Conservatives. The media are building up Trump and Cruz so they can declare a loss if Trump doesn’t win by 15% and if Cruz doesn’t finish 2nd.
NH is the northeast...I don’t way much into what they choose up there. If Cruz finished 2nd that would be a miracle.
South Carolina is where he should show well and needs to show well. If he can win SC then he will win the nomination. If Trump wins SC & NH then he will most likely be the nominee.
Of course this is based on the last few election cycles...having a 4 person fight through super Tuesday is unheard of to me so who knows.