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To: Dr. Sivana
I should say that I didn't even decide who to back until the last week or so - I was torn between Cruz and Rubio, with electability being my concern. Ultimately, I went with Rubio. l've come to the conclusion that Ted is fantastic at preaching to the converted. If you already identify as a staunch conservative, he's the guy.

The problem as i came to see it is that I don't think he'll be very good at persuading people who are undecided on the issues, and I think we must win that battle this year. While I'm sure he's formidable on oral argument in front of a panel of judges, I just don't see the ability to persuade undecided lay people on an emotional level. Ted's better at drawing lines than drawing people in.

We are on the verge of losing a complete generation plus to progressivism - the wars, followed by Obama, and now Bernie. Young conservatives are too hard to find, but I think many young people are still reachable if we field a candidate who can do the Reagan trick of conveying, with sincerity, that conservative values are really the best for raising up everybody's future. Reagan gave birth to an entire new generation of conservatives, because before him, Vietnam had driven a lot of young people to the left.

I know that Rubio's speeches in that regard can seem glib when you see them enough, but damn, they are pretty effective. My 19 year old daughter is completely uninterested in politics, but she was sitting with me talking about school when Rubio came on Monday night after placing third. She sat there, listened to the whole thing, and just said "who is he - I'll vote for him". Then went right back to school stuff.

I know he's not perfect, and he was wrong on the Gang of Eight. Ted's better on issues overall. But that ability to persuade and get people on the other side, or who are undecided to listen to you without acrimony and maybe be convinced...that just seems to me like the kind of magic we desperately need.

Anyway, thanks, and I certainly won't be sulking if Ted wins it. I'll just be nervous as hell that he'll push away more people than he draws in.

96 posted on 02/04/2016 2:03:11 PM PST by Bruce Campbells Chin
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To: Bruce Campbells Chin
Anyway, thanks, and I certainly won't be sulking if Ted wins it. I'll just be nervous as hell that he'll push away more people than he draws in.

I believe that Cruz will be able to recalibrate his message for the general election and focus on issues of interest to the electorate at large.

He won't be shy about attacking HRC as needed. I don't know if Rubio will be as effective at it.

Cruz' strategy has been, and will be, to get those four million who passed on Romney to come out and vote. Rubio isn't Romney, but I don't know if he can pull off the same thing.

I had thought of Walker as the only one who could unite Establishment and Movement Conservative groups, but he got blown out of the water early when it turned out that this was not going to be a conventional cycle. Since then I figured we need the rupture now, as we won't have another chance to get someone like Cruz in, as HRC is an exceptionally weak candidate.


99 posted on 02/04/2016 2:26:32 PM PST by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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