Going by the latest polls, here is how the next four weeks look for the nomination race:
Currently, it is 7-8, Cruz ahead in total delegates (all numbers here are Trump first, unless noted otherwise)
NH, FEB 9, 20 delegates, polling 33-11... likely result: 6 delegates to 3, Trump now ahead 13-11
SC, FEB 20, 50 delegates... polling 36-20, 18-10 delegates, Trump now up 31-21.
NV, FEB 23, 30 delegates... polling 33-20, 10-6 delegates, Trump now up 41-27.
Super Tuesday, March 1, twelve states:
TEXAS (155 delegates) 30-45, Cruz... 50-71, Trump's lead is wiped out. it's 91-98, Cruz!!!! Yay!!!
(ahem) but now for the other eleven states, LOL.
AL (47 delegates) polling 40-21 Trump... 19-10 in delegates
AK (25) 28-24... 7-6
GA (76) 38-29... 29-22
MA (39) 48-16... 19-6
OK (40) 35-25... 14-10
TN (55) 33-17... 18-9
VA (46) 28-19... 13-9
MN (38) polling at 23-21-18 Marco Cruz Trump... that's 7-8 in Trump-Cruz delegates
I cannot find a decently recent poll in VT (16 delegates), WY (26) and nothing from Arkansas (37 delegates) since hometown Huckabee left (he was leading, of course), so any old polling there would be useless. Let's call it about 37-31 of those 79 delegates.
The totals that these numbers predict for the morning of March 2?
Trump 254, Cruz 209
(Out of 728, equals 35 pct to 29 pct of delegates who have chosen officially. Of course they will likely have quite a few more each if more candidates drop out. We are now down to 9 from the original 18)
The hope remains for us Cruz folks that Ted was picked to lose Iowa by four points, and instead won by four points. This can easily be a tied game after March 1, or even better... but I thought you Trumpsters would like seeing this anyway. Keep it civil!!
(Corrected from my previous similar post... I left out Wyoming. Oops)
How accurate was the polling for Iowa? Please take that into account...