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To: miss marmelstein
The entry polls also had Trump winning.

Then people got inside and heard the Cruz disinformation/slash/dirty trick that Carson was dropping out, don't waste your vote, etc.

So about ~25% of people who were going to vote for Carson switched to Cruz. And that was the margin of difference and the reason why the polls were wrong about Trump winning.

This article conveniently hangs its hat on polls when they are needed to make one point, then ignores them when they don't support their point.

79 posted on 02/03/2016 2:55:27 PM PST by gg188 (Ted Cruz, R - Goldman Sachs)
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To: gg188

Bingo. Try and tell this to Cruz supporters who are suddenly all for cheating and lying their way to victory. And anyone who objects is a cry baby!


89 posted on 02/03/2016 2:59:34 PM PST by miss marmelstein (Richard the Third: With my own people alone I should like to drive away the Turks (Muslims))
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To: gg188
The entry polls also had Trump winning.

Not so much

Then people got inside and heard the Cruz disinformation/slash/dirty trick that Carson was dropping out, don't waste your vote, etc.

So about ~25% of people who were going to vote for Carson switched to Cruz. And that was the margin of difference and the reason why the polls were wrong about Trump winning.

Can you point me to a single report of even a single Carson voter switching to Cruz? If ~25% of people who were going to vote for Carson defected, then why did Carson's caucus totals outperform his pre-caucus poll numbers and match his entrance poll numbers?

Or is this math you do as a Trump supporter to make yourself feel better?

178 posted on 02/03/2016 4:15:21 PM PST by dem bums
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