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The Media Didn’t See Ted Cruz’ Iowa Win Coming Because They Let Their Emotions Trump Reality
Independent Journal ^ | 02/02/2016 | Erick Erickson

Posted on 02/02/2016 2:18:13 PM PST by SoConPubbie

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"If we must have an enemy at the head of Government, let it be one whom we can oppose, and for whom we are not responsible, who will not involve our party in the disgrace of his foolish and bad measures." - Alexander Hamilton

 

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1 posted on 02/02/2016 2:18:13 PM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: SoConPubbie

I reject your reality and substitute my own... my own Trump reality.


2 posted on 02/02/2016 2:21:19 PM PST by DannyTN
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To: SoConPubbie
I'm sorry, we go through this same series of stories every 4 years.. Media makes predictions, they are wrong, everyone jumps up and down as to why they are wrong, no one ever tests the new theories or methodologies against previous results, shock upon shock, same thing happens all over again.

I was very sure that Cruz would win Iowa, I was hoping for a stronger showing, but looks like Rubio bled enough off of both Trump and Cruz to drive them down. THAT should be what people are afraid of, not that some polls were inaccurate as usual in Iowa.

3 posted on 02/02/2016 2:22:14 PM PST by kingu (Everything starts with slashing the size and scope of the federal government.)
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To: SoConPubbie

No Eric, “where Arrogance meets incompetence: Erickson that is your specialty.

Perhaps instead of breaking their arms patting themselves on the back, people like Erickson might start thinking about why, despite their non stop full court press in the “Conservative Media Establishment for him, and the “greatest Ground Game in History”, Cruz comes out of Iowa with exactly 1 more delegate than Trump or Rubio?


4 posted on 02/02/2016 2:22:26 PM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: SoConPubbie

The media also hasn’t reported this. Better out now than have the left report it.

Christianity Today

This sort of political discourse is starting to affect how evangelicals talk about Trump. A notable exception is Russell Moore. He has consistently presented a line of argument—and not just name calling. His major thesis is that Trump is immoral by Christian standards. This is a fact: from Trump’s owning of strip clubs to his bragging about sleeping around to his Nietzsche-esque notions of power. Moore believes that a leader’s moral behavior will affect his leadership, so he argues that no Christian should support a candidate like Trump. This will not convince all Christians, but at least it’s an argument grounded in the fact of Trump’s moral behavior.

http://www.christianitytoday.com/ct/2016/january-web-only/why-donald-trump-threatens-to-trump-gospel.html

Charisma Magazine

“The late Dr. Jerry Falwell Sr. would be rolling over in his grave if he knew the son who bore his name had endorsed the most immoral and ungodly man to ever run for President of the United States,” John Stemberger, president of Florida Family Action, said in a statement Monday. “Trump is a thrice married owner of casing with strip clubs and would give us the first ‘First Lady’ who has proudly posed in the nude while supporting gay marriage and funding Planned Parenthood with taxpayer money.”

Unique in So Many Ways

Indeed, Trump would be like no president before him.

The first to be married three times, cheating on the first two (and probably the third).
The first whose wife appeared nude in a magazine.
The first to boast of his sexual proclivities, claiming to have had sexual relations with some of the “top women in the world.” (This is who Sarah Palin is supporting?)
He will be the first that has owned casinos with strip clubs.
To proudly proclaim that he will seek revenge against his personal enemies “as viciously and as violently as you can.”
His wife will be the first first lady that has posed for lesbian porn.
And with that last bullet in mind, do you really think for a minute that Trump opposes gay marriage?

http://www.charismanews.com/opinion/54750-evangelicals-please-don-t-let-donald-trump-fool-you


Why Donald Trump Threatens to Trump the Gospel

http://www.christianitytoday.com/ct/2016/january-web-only/why-donald-trump-threatens-to-trump-gospel.html


Donald Trump talked about his Christian faith Saturday, but said he’s never sought forgiveness for his sins.
The event is a gathering sponsored by several socially-conservative Christian organizations, including the Family Research Council, a socially conservative lobbying organization; Liberty University, the world’s largest evangelical university; and the National Organization for Marriage, a group established to prevent the legalization of same-sex marriage.
Trump, who told CNN earlier that he is both anti-abortion and anti-same-sex marriage, said people are surprised to learn about his Christian faith.
“People are so shocked when they find ... out I am Protestant. I am Presbyterian. And I go to church and I love God and I love my church,” he said.
Moderator Frank Luntz asked Trump whether he has ever asked God for forgiveness for his actions.
“I am not sure I have. I just go on and try to do a better job from there. I don’t think so,” he said. “I think if I do something wrong, I think, I just try and make it right. I don’t bring God into that picture. I don’t.”
www.christianitytoday.com/edstetzer/2015/july/morning-roundup-72715.html


5 posted on 02/02/2016 2:23:43 PM PST by Linda Frances (Woe to those who call evil good and good evil, who put darkness for light and light for darkness.)
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To: SoConPubbie

Trump started going up in the polls only very late. I wasn’t buying it at all.


6 posted on 02/02/2016 2:24:48 PM PST by TalBlack (Evil doesn't have a day job...)
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To: Linda Frances
I don’t bring God into that picture. I don’t.

I hadn't realized that he was such a fool.
Delusions of grandeur.

7 posted on 02/02/2016 2:26:59 PM PST by cloudmountain
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To: DannyTN

I was not surprised that Cruz won. Evangelicals always win in Iowa. Trump came close.


8 posted on 02/02/2016 2:33:11 PM PST by IC Ken
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To: SoConPubbie

Wow, this article could of wrote itself at FR. I have seen every one of those scenarios played out this week (and some still being used today).


9 posted on 02/02/2016 2:33:31 PM PST by LowOiL ("Let us do evil that good may come"? ....condemnation is just - Romans 3:8)
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To: IC Ken

Agreed.


10 posted on 02/02/2016 2:34:08 PM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: DannyTN

In the long run, all Cruz really accomplished was to throw a life-line to the Republican establishment, in the form of Rubio. Cruz was always going to be strong in Iowa (and, at a later point, Texas), so his narrow victory isn’t much of a surprise. The net effect is that Rubio and the Republican establishment can breath a huge sigh of relief today, since Iowa voters missed an opportunity to deal them a fatal blow. Hopefully, subsequent states will not follow Iowa’s lead, and can undo the good fortune that Iowa bestowed upon the establishment.


11 posted on 02/02/2016 2:34:11 PM PST by jjsheridan5
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To: IC Ken

Trump did quite well with evangelical voters...compare his results to where Santorum won in 2012 and you’ll see.

I think Rubio is a bigger threat to Trump than Cruz is going forward.


12 posted on 02/02/2016 2:38:42 PM PST by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera)
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To: TalBlack

I hated that TRUMP finished 2nd in Iowa and a butt-head like Erickson gets to gloat but let’s just see what happens in New Hampshire. It’s not over yet...TRUMP 2016!


13 posted on 02/02/2016 2:39:38 PM PST by virginia9000
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To: mac_truck
I think Rubio is a bigger threat to Trump than Cruz is going forward.

************************

Interesting. Why?

14 posted on 02/02/2016 2:42:33 PM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: DannyTN

my theory is that the GOPe and the media are beyond pissed that Cruz won and is so popular WITHOUT their respective support or introduction. This election is about the people deciding, not the media, who they like. The media hate that. Afterall, we are just stupid and need to be told what to think. We are telling all the media what we think and they can’t handle it.


15 posted on 02/02/2016 2:43:52 PM PST by Cyclone59 (Where are we going, and what's with the handbasket?)
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To: mac_truck
Re>I think Rubio is a bigger threat to Trump than Cruz is going forward

I have to agree also. Rubio is a smooth talker. Slick like and delivers well. I was surprised he hasn't been doing better.

16 posted on 02/02/2016 2:48:00 PM PST by IC Ken
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To: IC Ken
I was not surprised that Cruz won. Evangelicals always win in Iowa. Trump came close.

Shhhh. Reason and logic have no place here when there's still name calling to be done.

17 posted on 02/02/2016 2:48:09 PM PST by digger48
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To: virginia9000

Trump will easily win NH and I don’t see him losing SC or NV either.


18 posted on 02/02/2016 2:56:43 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: SoConPubbie

If you looked at the unfavorables and the head to head polling it was hard not to come down on the side of Trump winning. To me it always looked like all three would get about the same number of delegates.


19 posted on 02/02/2016 2:57:57 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: Georgia Girl 2

How about Texas and California?


20 posted on 02/02/2016 2:58:52 PM PST by jwalsh07
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