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To: higgmeister

.
No one will be throwing anything to Trump.

Fantasy land has collapsed.

As Krauthammer explained tonight, Trump has no growing room.

He is not a likely winner.


3,815 posted on 02/01/2016 10:37:01 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: editor-surveyor

Krauthammer is a moron.

As long as Trump maintains his leads in NH and SC, Super Tuesday will swing strongly Trump and he’ll remain the favorite for the nomination.

The problem is going to be if the GOP-e rallies behind amnesty schmuck Rubio.


3,819 posted on 02/01/2016 10:39:54 PM PST by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: editor-surveyor
As Krauthammer explained tonight, Trump has no growing room.

He is not a likely winner.

That is just bull. The 2016 Super Tuesday will be held on March 1 with a certainty of Trump gaining ground.

Winners-take-most states are those with proportional allocation and a 15 percent or 20 percent threshold to qualify for delegates. Strictly proportional states have proportional allocations with either no thresholds or low ones—typically, 5 percent or 10 percent (Iowa).

Georgia, a winners-take-most state with a 20 percent threshold, illustrates the formidable obstacles the establishment candidates face. Only Trump, with 39 percent, and Cruz, with 29 percent, would qualify for delegates, splitting the state's 76 delegates between them. So far, none of the establishment candidates are close to meeting Georgia's 20 percent threshold.

The Georgia scenario will play out in six states holding primaries on March 1, otherwise known as the SEC Primary. These six states—Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas—will allocate 422 delegates by winners-take-most rules, and all are conservative states in which establishment candidates will likely struggle to meet the thresholds.

The Republican Establishment's Delegate Problem

3,838 posted on 02/01/2016 11:12:28 PM PST by higgmeister ( In the Shadow of The Big Chicken! Trump 2016!)
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