Nothing is wrong. The dems run their Caucus in an electoral college fashion.
Here’s the rub...
High voter turnout was supposed to benefit Trump. The Evangelical vote, as per entrance polls, was split almost equally three ways.
Aside from that, I saw earlier where Cruz was winning more moderate counties (former Romney territory) and Trump was winning some smaller Evangelical counties, counties the Cruz campaign thought they had to win.
A Cruz campaign spokesman was interviewed live earlier, quite perplexed that Cruz was winning with high voter turnout.
I’ll look at this stuff more tomorrow, but as it stands now, nothing was right...not polling, not historical demographics and not turnout models.