I don't know about the validity of this here poll but if Cruz winning Iowa is predicated on him winning the vast majority of the "evangelical" vote. If it's even close among that group between Trump and Cruz, then it probably won't be close overall.
Remember that Santorum "won" in 2012 with less than 30,000 votes statewide. And even then, he only had 34 more votes than second place Mitt Romney.
Also, to underscore the relative meaningless of the Iowa caucus, consider that Santorum had ZERO Iowa delegates at the RNC that year. So much for winning Iowa.
Trivia question. Does anybody know who brought most of the Iowa delegates to the national convention? No, it wasn't Mitt Romney.
It was Ron Paul - who finished THIRD in Iowa.
Can't wait for Iowa to end. Enough already. Enough of ethanol and corn and evangelicals. I have nothing against the good people of Iowa but I have Iowa fatigue.
He said it was embarrassing, and that the rules have been changed so that Iowa delegates are required to reflect the voters' choice on the first ballot.
I share your Iowa fatigue, although I have been engrossed in this. Just imagine if you lived in Iowa; you'd never be able to have a peaceful moment without pollsters and campaigners hounding you...
Amen. Let’s not forget McCain’s fourth-place finish in Iowa in 2008, and how he went on to win the nomination rather easily.
Iowa is so overblown and overrated it blows my mind. I wish the RNC would stop punishing states for trying to move their primary dates before Iowa. Let a red state go first, not a two-time Obama state. Reward loyalty to the GOP in presidential elections.
Amen brother!