Posted on 01/27/2016 6:45:13 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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Maybe Trump will hold that lead over the next few days, who knows? As a perpetual reminder, Rick Santorum trailed in Iowa by 15 points a week before he won the caucuses in 2012, so it's very smart to assume that things could change dramatically.
But polling often does a poor job of predicting one of the most important aspects of what will happen on the night of the caucuses: Who will turn out and for whom. I've been on a bit of a kick to this effect for a few days now, but I can't reinforce it enough. If Trump or Cruz can't get their people to the polls, an easy race can become a close race and a close race can become a disaster.
We noted on Tuesday that Trump's base in Iowa is less likely to turn out...
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Regarding Santorum, he trailed in polls I doubt the polls were accurate but still a good point.
It’s all Megan’s FAULT!
“The weather forecasts, which predicted cold and snow on Tuesday, have shifted slightly in the eastern part of the state, probably meaning that turnout will be higher.”
Good news for Trump!
Ted Cruz has 12,000 volunteers, 880 precinct captions, 800 drivers for caucus nite!!!
Lose with cruz. is he eligible? please tell me!!
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Yes, NOOB, he is. You seem very confused.
My suspicion is that Trump does not want to get to close to the voters in Iowa because of his already demonstrated ignorance of biblical Christianity - so he trumped up this âwarâ with Fox so that he could blame them for his poor showing in Iowa - and bypass the fact that the voters might just see through him.
Wish FR had a like button.
that may be true, but what is amazing is that either one of them can still win it.
How many people have gone to Cruz rallies?
How many have gone to Trump rallies?
If "we the people" make that decision do you have a problem?
Do people really believe these stupid theories or did I miss the sarcasm?
But look at all the people who were swindled out of millions by Trump University. So there are plenty of people who pick up the phone and pay.
Not after the SCOTUS ruling or amendment to the constitution.
My suspicion is that Trump does not want to get to close to the voters in Iowa because of his already demonstrated ignorance of biblical Christianity - so he trumped up this 'war' with Fox so that he could blame them for his poor showing in Iowa - and bypass the fact that the voters might just see through him.""""....
That sums it up very well...
You don't tug on Superman's cape, and you don't mess around with (mock) GOD.
For Donald Trump!
See reply #4!
I don’t know 2015 sign-up, is he?
Come back to planet earth. Trump will be in Iowa raising money for the vets while Cruz attends the freakshow at Fox.
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