No this is not Trump bashing. It is what I hope to be a reasonable question. And yes I think it is Donald’s to lose. But how commanding is his lead? He is between 35-40% support which means at least 60% is not voting for him now. I think I saw in the last poll around 27% were undecided.
Right now Trump is running against the field, not just Cruz or Rubio, he is the ultimate outsider. So what happens when the field narrows significantly to a two man race? I would say that Cruz as it stands now would get the majority (maybe guessing) of Carson, Bush, Christie, Kasich, Paul, Huckabee, and Fiorina’s votes. I did not add Rubio because he will likely be a low percentage spoiler in the long run. An establishment clinger.
Anything can happen and may the best man win. But I personally think the race is far from over. I suspect once everyone with no chance of winning park their clown cars we will have a real race. Then again, it might be the blow out we are seeing now. Time will tell.
Do you really think GOPe voter types will rally behind Cruz?