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To: Cincinatus' Wife

You really should go into the textile business for all the spinning you do.

Here are very simple facts: the more Cruz “gains” the further behind he gets.

*Since the debate, 12-—count em, 12-—IA polls have come out. The record? Trump leads in 9, Cruz in 2. One is a tie. It is quite clear to any but a rabid partisan that Cruz is slipping, and badly, in his one and only hope.

*Crus now trails on the RCP IA avg. by 2.6.

*Deace and Kerpen cleverly avoid mentioning the OTHER 10-point Trump poll yesterday, Emerson College. Turnout isn’t a factor in that one and Trump leads in that by . . . Wait for it. . . 5 points AFTER the margin of error.

*Had RCP included Emerson in its average, that rises to about 4-5 points. Uh oh.

*So even IF Keroen’s questionable math is accurate and IF one buys that Cruzers mysteriously turn out at much higher rates than Trump’s people, Trump is still already right at the 5% lead Kerpen says he needs.


25 posted on 01/22/2016 3:01:52 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

You cherry pick.

I put it out there and link.

: )


26 posted on 01/22/2016 3:02:29 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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