I think this election for the Republicans is not like the previous ones - that the first two states WILL be VERY important in determining things. That was not true in the past.
But I think it is, this time. My State, California (which i predict will go to Trump) is way out there in June - and Super Tuesday? Well, I still think it will be the FIRST TWO STATES that will determine the outcome...
Whoever wins the first two, has won it. Not the normal pattern, but I think that is the Aces and Eights on this one.
If for example Trump and Cruz SPLIT the first two, then we have a boxing match into Super Tuesday. But if either or gets the first TWO, it’s over.
This begs the question, why does the GOP allow two Dem states - Iowa and New Hampshire - choose their Presidential candidates?
But Trump will win S.C. which is BEFORE Super Tuesday.