Found it. Previous Fox poll Cruz was up 2, so he has slightly increased his lead in Fox-—but interestingly he’s about to see his overall lead on RCP fall because the big 10 point DMR poll will soon fall off. PPP should be out any day. I’ll be interested in that one.
I think it will be close to a statistical dead heat. Just my opinion. Cruz inherited Carson’s IOWA support to a large degree.
But, it is true what they say about Iowa...it’s the ground game, because they have to get these people out for a number of hours. It’s not as easy as going to vote.
They have 23 days remaining to motivate their support. Santorum is proof that ground game is very important.
To be replaced by another DMR poll.
Further, even if a new DMR poll doesn't come out, Cruz is still leading Trump by 40 to 31 in the CBS poll which will still be in the RCP average. Further, Cruz's RCP average lead over Trump actually went up with this Fox poll.
PPP should be out any day
Cruz was leading Trump by 7% in the last PPP poll.