Trump Maintains Lead in NH; Dem Race Close (Trump 29%, Rubio 15%)

ppp ^ | January 06, 2016

[fhayek]

Wouldn’t the tightness of the Democrat race merit the headline here?

[Jeff Head]

I think it very possible that Cruz wins Iowa on Feb 1st, and then Trump wins SC on Feb 9th.

Then it is on to SC for Fed 20th.

Trump probably wins that too.

After that I expect the field is going to start thinning out.

[CMailBag]

After Cruz wins Iowa this poll will be garbage, of course most PPP polls are garbage from the start.

[Red Steel]

Little wishful thinking.

[Company Man]

I think it very possible that Cruz wins Iowa on Feb 1st, and then Trump wins NH on Feb 9th.

Then it is on to SC for Fed 20th.

FIFY

[Company Man]

[libbylu]

the good news: Cruz beats Trump in the one to one poll. He is the biggest holder of second place votes. And 44% of NH GOP have unfavorable opinion of Trump. I knew you were dying to know.
Q21
Who would you prefer as the Republican
candidate if you had to choose between just
Ted Cruz and Donald Trump?
46%
Ted Cruz
.........................................................
39%
Donald Trump
.................................................
15%
Not sure
..........................................................

[skeeter]

I cannot believe Bush is polling that highly anywhere in the country. His campaign has been the epitome of impotency and he’s being humiliated every day,.

[Hugin]

Do you think New Hampshirites sit around waiting to see what Iowans do before making up their minds? When was the last time Iowa and NH went for the same Republican, other than a sitting president? I don’t know, but it was sometime before 1976.

[Red Steel]

Then again it’s PPP fearing who they fear the most.

PPP are a Dem polling outfit.

[Mariner]

"Public Policy Polling surveyed 515 likely Republi can primary voters and 480 likely Democratic primary voters from January 4 th to 6th. The margin of error is +/-4.3% for the Republicans and +/- 4.5% for the Democrats. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel "

The meaning of the above is that this pol was conducted from lists provided by the parties, and that 20% of the respondents participated by opting in via internet.

Total crap poll even though my guy leads.

[LS]

Don't know why you say that: if you review the polls all summer, PPP has really been right in the middle of all of them, hence, the most likely to be accurate.

But, whatever, Trump +1 over last PPP poll is the important data point.

[LS]

I'll say again. If you watch all the polls all summer, PPP has been almost exactly in the middle, not the highest, not the lowest. I think right now, for whatever reason, it is the most accurate of all of them.

And not cause "my guy" leads.

[Red Steel]

They are Democrat pollsters fearing you know who.

Like this wishful statement they said above:

“If Cruz wins Iowa and it causes Trump voters to be demoralized, he’s easily the candidate most likely to see his supporters come their way. “

LoL not even in a blue moon would Iowa caucus voters voting for Cruz would cause an exodus of Trump supporters in NH or anywhere else.

[TexasFreeper2009]

Yep Cruz wins Iowa in a squeaker, then Trump runs the board on the other 49 states.

[Little Bill]

I live in NH and am active in County Politics. It is crazy up here, I have never seen anything like this since Reagan.

Normal people hate the State GOP establishment, hate the State Gov , and the Feds. I can’t make any predictions but based on our fund raising and events this is going to be an interesting election. If what I think is going to happen, happens I can die happy.

[presidio9]

He's the most frequent second choice of voters in the state at 17% to 11% each for Bush and Rubio, and 10% for Christie.

Common sense dictates that when two of the last three drop out, the remaining candidate will get the majority of their voters and immediately move up into the high 20's.

This is not an endorsement of any of them, just a reality check.

[ripnbang]

Like to cherry pick?

“Interestingly the other candidate whose seen his support drop is Ted Cruz, who’s gone from 13% to 10%...”

[Redleg Duke]

I also live in New Hampshire and Household Six and I are volunteering for Trump and yes, the excitement is remarkable!

The GOP establishment here in New Hampshire, including that fat troll, John Sununu are absolutely disgusting and well past their shel lie.