Libbylu: probably one of the few times I’m going to agree with u this primary season. This pollster had to go and add his long term analysis which is useless and most likely flawed. Rubio does not win Florida and Ted does not drop out by March 15th. I’m obviously a Trump guy but this analysis is way off base.
I actually don’t think this pollster is too accurate but for reasons you will disagree with me about. Trump polls 32-33-34 in every poll from this pollster (except Mass where he’s at 41). You might argue that is Trump’s ceiling and that’s why he’s at those numbers. I’d argue that statistically, Trump can’t be the same everywhere. There has to be some variation in these numbers good bad or indifferent. You will notice that Ted is all over the map with this pollster, from mid teens to mid 20’s. That’s probably expected. Either Trump is totally locked in to his numbers or Trump is actually polling higher in line with his national numbers with a few lower numbers sprinkled in.
I’m curious if Trump might see if Cruz would be the VP candidate. If Cruz would agree to do that, it would basically lock up the nomination before the first primary. The Establishment would be beside themselves.