I have been saying, for a while now, that there is a pretty good chance that Trump; WILL win N.Y. State!
How do I know this?
Because I pay attention, know political history, and still know a few N.Y. Conservatives in politics.
Trump will carry NY, NJ, and PA (for starters). He's been deeply involved in NY/NJ politics for decades and has a huge base of operations there. That make's a D path to electoral victory a near impossibility.
One of the main arguments for Trump is that he can put a lot of supposedly "safe" blue states into play, something no other Republican nominee could do.