I grew up on Long Island.....decades ago.
As you know, there are a lot of Republicans on Long Island, including most of my relatives who still live there.
Didn’t Romney get roughly 50% of the vote in Suffolk County in the 2012 general election? I think Trump would do much better there this November.
Romney got 48% of Suffolk and 46% of Nassau
McCain got 47% of Suffolk and 46% of Nassau