I have Donald Trump in the low to mid 30s. Ted Cruz + Ben Carson have totaled almost the same number for the past several months. Cruz does not have to be the only other contestant to finish first in the WTA states. It would be sufficient for him to consolidate the social conservatives and libertarians, for him to be able to go toe-to-toe with the Donald. It has always been Cruz’ plan to consolidate social conservatives and libertarians. But, Carson and a few others have their part to do.
Except in most polls now Trump is pushing 40, exceeding 40 in some.