When the other candidates drop out Cruz gets the bulk of their supporters? Why? Trump s negatives are astronomical because he has insulted the remaining candidates.
This isn t a two man race yet. It s a 13 man race with three lanes, the populist lane (Trump), the conservative lane (Cruz, et. al.), and the RINO lane (Bush, Rubio, Christie, etc.)
Even without the other candidates dropping out, Cruz is leading in IA and tied with Trump in SC.
Finally, Cruz support is spiking up, while Trump s support has remained between 32-39% for five months.
When Cruz gets 24/7 bashing like Trump has for several months now, let’s see where his poll numbers go.
You're telling me the miniscule, moderate/squish supporters of Rubio, Graham, Carson, Huckabee, Bush, Kasich, and Fiorina will automatically default to conservative Cruz and that will suddenly give Cruz an insurmountable lead?
Trump's negatives are astronomical because he has insulted the remaining candidates.
And again, how does that hurt Trump when the other candidates don't have the base of support that Trump has? Trump's "negatives" are high among LEFTISTS, Democrats, the media, and GOPe consultants and groupies. They are not "astronomical" among the very people who will vote for him.
This isn t a two man race yet.
It is. The other candidates are irrelevant. It's time for Cruz to cut a deal with Trump and be his VP or get a cushy administration job or appointed to SCOTUS. He is NOT going to win the primaries outright, the path is not there for him.
It s a 13 man race with three lanes, the populist lane (Trump), the conservative lane (Cruz, et. al.), and the RINO lane (Bush, Rubio, Christie, etc.)
The conservative lane is already a part of Trump's populist coalition. It is not a stand-alone lane.
Most of Cruz's supporters appear to be people who are wishy washy, not really set on their candidate, while 60 or 70 percent of Trump's numbers are hard numbers. They won't change.
Cruz is intensely vulnerable, and if he won the primary (I doubt it, and I pray he won't), he won't survive the general. People who think Cruz has a chance are fooling themselves and just don't know their candidate's problems.