Nice trick you got going there. I have my own magic trick too:
And of course we were talkng about Iowa as you well knew. I repeat, Cruz will CRUSH Trump in Iowa.
But good?
Here's the reality... This is what it looks like consistently across the United States that seems to get ignored.
Trump +27% over Cruz.
"2016 Republican Presidential Nomination
Monmouth - Trump 41, Cruz 14, Rubio 10, Carson 9, Bush 3, Christie 2, Paul 2, Fiorina 2, Kasich 3, Huckabee 2, Santorum 0, Graham 1, Pataki 1 Trump +27"
| Poll | Date |
Trump
|
Cruz
|
Rubio
|
Carson
|
Bush
|
Christie
|
Paul
|
Fiorina
|
Kasich
|
Huckabee
|
Santorum
|
Graham
|
Pataki
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 12/2 - 12/17 | 34.4 | 17.1 | 12.3 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | Trump +17.3 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 12/16 - 12/17 | 39 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Trump +21 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 12/16 - 12/17 | 34 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Trump +16 |
| ABC News/Wash PostABC/WP | 12/10 - 12/13 | 38 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Trump +23 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 12/10 - 12/13 | 41 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Trump +27 |
| NBC/WSJNBC/WSJ | 12/6 - 12/9 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -- | -- | -- | Trump +5 |
| CBS/NY TimesCBS/NYT | 12/4 - 12/8 | 35 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +19 |
| USA Today/SuffolkUSA Today | 12/2 - 12/6 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Trump +10 |
| Poll | Date |
Cruz
|
Trump
|
Rubio
|
Carson
|
Bush
|
Paul
|
Fiorina
|
Huckabee
|
Christie
|
Kasich
|
Santorum
|
Pataki
|
Graham
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 12/4 - 12/17 | 30.2 | 26.2 | 12.3 | 10.0 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Cruz +4.0 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS/YouGov | 12/14 - 12/17 | 40 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Cruz +9 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 12/10 - 12/13 | 25 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Trump +3 |
| DMR/BloombergDMR/Bloomberg | 12/7 - 12/10 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Cruz +10 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 12/4 - 12/13 | 27 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +1 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 12/7 - 12/10 | 28 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Cruz +2 |
| Loras CollegeLoras | 12/7 - 12/10 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -- | 0 | Cruz +7 |
And of course we were talkng about Iowa as you well knew. I repeat, Cruz will CRUSH Trump in Iowa.
Trump +27% over Cruz.
Trump has this race in the bag, just like Clinton had the race in the bag against Obama in 2008!
RCP Polling Averages Democrat Party December 2008
Pew research 12/19 - 12/30 Clinton +20
FOX News 12/18 - 12/19 Clinton +29
Cook/RT Strategies 12/15 - 12/17 Clinton +12
NBC/WSJ 12/14 - 12/17 Clinton +22
USA Today/Gallup 12/14 - 12/16 Clinton +18
Rasmussen 12/13 - 12/16 Clinton +13
Reuters/Zogby 12/12 - 12/14 Clinton +8
National polls this far out, when people are not tuned into the race and focusing on the holidays don't mean much for predicting who will win the primaries
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html