[Fresh Wind]

Don’t forget the Iowa Caucus winner in 1980-George HW Bush.

[Unmarked Package]

George W. Bush won Iowa in 2000 by 10 points with the backing of evangelical Christian voters over second place finisher Steve Forbes (another businessman). Bush lost NH by a large margin of 18 points (McCain won big in NH in 2000). George W. Bush went on to become the GOP nominee in 2000 and was the eventual winner in the general election.

2016 could be a repeat of the outcome in 2000, especially since there is greater importance early in the primaries on southern states on March 1 (SEC primaries) where Cruz has great organization and is expected to do well.