I take all of them seriously. The problem is, all of Cruz’s support seems to be coming from Carson’s fall. So the two are merely exchanging second place. But in the five polls released since the “shock” DMR poll, Trump is back in front in IA in two, ahead huge in GA, SC, and NH in the other three. That’s not counting the four-five national polls where he maintains his 10-15 point lead and climbs into the mid 30s.
Cruz will pick up most of the Huckabee, Santorum, Rubio, Carson, Fiorina and Paul voters when they inevitably drop out, just as he did with Walker and Perry.
Cruz will pick up most of the Huckabee, Santorum, Rubio, Carson, Fiorina and Paul voters when they inevitably drop out, just as he did with Walker and Perry.
Rubio chickens out on Senate Budget vote.
Bush had is ass handed to him during the debates.
The sands are going to start shifting very quickly as these events and other candidates dropping out force realignment of loyalties.
I appreciate your analysis on all of the various ebbs and flows in this race. You bring a rational perspective to everything going on here.
In an odd question, the poll also asked Florida’s Democrats who they’d like to see as the GOP nominee.
37.3 percent say they want Trump  perhaps because he seems to be the easiest to beat. 18.5 percent say they want Bush, perhaps because he seems the most palpable to Democrats out of the lot.
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Check this without the editorializing. I wouldn’t find it surprising at all.
realclear still has Cruz plus one on average.
Love Cruz ahead of FL boys.
A long time to go yet.
Cruz seems the only one gaining steam.
For weeks the Trump supporters on FR insisted that Trump was going to get the Carson votes if/when he fell.
The other point is Carson is still polling around 11% nationally and in Iowa , so there is still a lot of votes for Cruz to pick up if Carson should withdraw after Iowa. Cruz has plenty of upside.