Posted on 12/15/2015 8:04:54 PM PST by SeekAndFind
Despite controversy after controversy, Donald Trump still dominates the polls. With his seemingly impervious lead, it is tempting to declare that he is a clear front-runner for the nomination. From Our Advertisers
He has, after all, defied all expectations of his impending demise, including an early one from this author. If he has survived everything so far, why should he lose now?
Mr. Trump has emerged as a true factional candidate -- much more like Howard Dean or Pat Buchanan than Herman Cain, or other candidates who have surged to the top of the polls only to collapse.
But it's still too soon to say Mr. Trump is the front-runner for the nomination. He has a high floor but a low ceiling, and although he has weathered many controversies, the toughest days are yet to come. Continue reading the main story
The polls already show initial signs of those challenges, like Ted Cruz's lead in Iowa; the number of Republicans who say they would not support him; his weakness in polls of verified voters; and his smaller or nonexistent leads in one-on-one matchups against likely rivals.
His chances of winning -- which are real, even if not good -- depend much more on the weaknesses of his opponents than his own strengths. The good news for Mr. Trump is that the opposition is flawed enough to entertain such an outcome.
The notion that Mr. Trump should be considered a strong front-runner based on current polls is understandable, but inconsistent with recent history. In nearly every election cycle, there are candidates who lead national polls and sometimes even win states, but don’t come close to winning the nomination.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
I agree with that statement.
he has the highest ceiling of anyone in the race-— what color is the sky in this writer’s world?— I think rubio, bush, carson and fiorina all have a ceiling of about 15...
The idiots at the NYT should know by now that these “Who’s gonna win” articles are a dime a dozen, and mean nothing.
Yeah, after last night’s performance he should just get out of the race and endorse the mailman’s son.
Author is liberal twit rejected from WIKI. Has to pay his dues somehow.
Here’s a working link for that.
Now for a short public service announcement to all on FR:
We need to ensure we don't get another Obama-like America Hater as the next President.
The best way to ensure that is to actively support a candidate as the next President.
I prefer Cruz and my money goes to his campaign, hence the Cruz link. If you like someone else, donate to him/her (find your own link to do it) and if you use FR and don't donate, then please don't complain about the welfare leeches or those who have Obama Phones because, functionally, you are no different than any other FReeloader
PS - If you are one of those who cannot afford even a small donation to FR or a candidate, God Bless and happy FReeping!.....
GO CRUZ!! Keep it up Trump!!
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