[CA Conservative]

But isn’t the national poll a good indicator of how the primaries will go IN GENERAL?

No. Rarely have the national polls this far out from the primaries been even remotely accurate in predicting the eventual outcome.

[Kenny]

No. Rarely have the national polls this far out from the primaries been even remotely accurate in predicting the eventual outcome

And Iowa's right on the money? Seriously? They can't pick a winner.