He who counts the votes...
http://www.scribd.com/doc/293112953/DMR-2130-methodology-Saturday-Dec-12
Check the methodology. Very interesting.
All of these polls really mean nothing at this point.
Also..I really don’t care about Iowa. I can decide for myself.
400 sample size
Statistically too small to be significant
CNN poll had Trump 13 points up. Weird..not really. LOL
Not buying this poll.
“Staggering” being the key word there, an outlier.
Not really unexpected, most polls had Cruz going up in the state rapidly in last few polls, one had him leading. RealClearPolitics had Cruz and Trump virtually tied in their combination poll chart.
I don’t know that I would say Cruz is as high as this poll says 31% to Trump’s 21%, but I imagine they are both right at top.
Trump said this would happen.
A 21 point jump in one state only sounds reasonable /s
A few weeks before the 2012 caucus this polling outfit had Santorum at 6%.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/GingrichSurgesinNewIowaPresidentialPoll/2011/12/03/id/419863/
Santorum won the caucus with 25% on January 3rd.
I like both Cruz and Trump, but more than 400 people could be polled at a mall on Saturday. This sample size is way too small to mean much.
I like both Cruz and Trump, but more than 400 people could be polled at a mall on Saturday. This sample size is way too small to mean much.
Between the two, I prefer the guy who wasn't a Hillary-supporting democrat a few years ago.
Gotta quote your hero:
“You guys are losers”. Now remember, I am quoting your hero, no need to respond.
Des Moiunes Register has a couple of editors that are so anti-Trump, they should be exposed in an infomercial of their track record of bias and fabrication. They are disgusting.
And I say this as one who is glad to see Cruz rise, but unfortunately, it’s all fake just as it was for Carson. The problem is that it will end up damaging Ted if he’s not careful. Of course he wants to win but he should be very circumspect and not allow himself to be used by the GOPe as a wedge to drive into conservatives.
If Ted thinks he will win Iowa, the GOPe will turn on him so quick and he will be taken down. I don’t want to see that. I want to see Donald and Ted united against the GOPe and the democrats. It’s a fact that Donald draws more demographic groups than Ted, and Ted should be aware of that reality. He doesn’t have to throw in the towel but he should keep the bigger picture of what Rove et al are plotting to do.
Ted may experience euphoria at a biased poll in Iowa but so did Carson and look where Carson is today. This can damage Ted. The GOPe sits waiting for damage to occur either to Donald or Ted; they think they can’t go wrong. Meanwhile, Cruz supporters are played as fools.
Ted’s in a real bind here because he must tell those who back him with SuperPACS that he’s in it to win it, and then he must show them the Iowa poll. He can’t say to them the poll is misleading. So he has to act like it represents reality which it does not. This puts him into a similar position that Carson recently found himself.
I wasn’t grieving when Carson was taken down, but I will be if Ted is taken down. I want Ted to do well but only in 2nd place and not because I don’t support him, but because 1st place for him is not real, it is manufactured with a specific aim in mind. He simply doesn’t pull the same groups that Donald does that are more broad and representative of the electorate. Ted can beat Hillary but it can be close, too close for comfort, whereas Donald can blow her out.
The sample size is similar to most state polls, nothing wrong there.
Probably an outlier, but no problem. There will plenty of polls coming in soon.
And, as long as it’s Trump or Cruz at or near the top, all is well.
Relax.
Not a problem for Trump. The Evangelicals there seem to be strange bunch, not even close to the Republican Party mainstream overall. They support strange people, like Huckabee, just because they pray a lot (or so it seems), they supported Carson because he said a few things, then they hung on to him for dear life as he self-destructed, I guess because he’s black. Cruz has targeted this bunch from the beginning, while Trump (obviously) has not.
The result of not winning Iowa, besides losing a relative handful of delegates, is that funding can dry up...the money stops flowing in. Something that Trump doesn’t have to worry about. To him it’s just a small state, nothing more.
bookmarking for comments after Cruz wins Iowa