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To: Eddie01

The DMR Poll is commonly considered the gold standard of Iowa Polling. In 2014, it was the only poll to show that Joni Ernst was going to win her seat comfortably, meanwhile other polling outfits had it much closer.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_braley-3990.html


39 posted on 12/12/2015 2:53:38 PM PST by ConservativeTeen (Proud Right Wing Extremist)
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To: ConservativeTeen
Em, maybe. Every year there is a different "gold standard," however. In 2000, Zogby was pretty much the only poll showing Bush ahead. Then for a while Rasmussen was the leading poll indicator.

So far this season, the one that has seemed to be most accurate in terms of being a predictor of where things were headed is PPP. But we'll see. Three IA polls in last week, two good for Cruz, one good for Trump. I'm betting IA is a lot closer with a very slight Trump lead.

Either way it's clear that TEMPORARILY Cruz has picked up almost every disaffected Carson supporter. On the one hand that confirms my view that Carson's support was almost entirely "church lady" from the get go, but refutes my view that Cruz and Trump would split these evenly.

58 posted on 12/12/2015 3:01:47 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: ConservativeTeen

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2015/07/24/trump-barring-des-moines-register-campaign-event/30645343/

I’m willing to entertain your arguement, but when you make it without the acknowledgement of past DR history it comes off as one sided.


62 posted on 12/12/2015 3:02:42 PM PST by Eddie01
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To: ConservativeTeen

Joni Ernst, wasn’t she supposed to make Washington squeal? I’ll bet her voting record parallels McConnell.


204 posted on 12/12/2015 4:05:45 PM PST by odawg
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