[Theodore R.]

Actually, KY and LA governorships have never to my knowledge been a reliable forecast for the presidential election the following year. Vitter is in deep trouble I think in part because he did not start active campaigning soon enough and acted earlier like he had a sure victory just waiting.

[StAnDeliver]

"Actually, KY and LA governorships have never to my knowledge been a reliable forecast for the presidential election the following year."

KY 20 years out, a pretty damn good corollary...

• '95 Paul Patton (Dem) --> '96 Clinton (Dem)
• '99 Paul Patton (Dem) --> '00 Bush (GOP)
• '03 Ernie Fletcher (GOP) --> '04 Bush (GOP)
• '07 Steve Beshear (Dem) --> '08 Bobo (Dem)
• '11 Steve Beshear (Dem) --> '12 Bobo (Dem)
• '15 Matt Bevin (GOP) --> '16 ???