“Still think a large share of Carson’s support is actually going to end up with Trump”
I seriously doubt that, and I doubt Trump goes any higher in the polls from here. Carson’s biggest bunch of supporters now are the solid evangelicals, and I think the shine is off Trump’s apple for them. When you have to shout, “I’m Presbyterian” five times, trying to convince people not to abandon you for Carson, it puts the lie to any claim of knowing or understanding anything about Christianity.
Trump has way more cross appeal and should GOTV for the Republicans in a way we have not seen since Reagan was the nominee.
I think there are many persons like me who now believe that Carson by taking up with Al Sharpton needs to be looked at with a jaundiced political eye. Trump’s give them brimstone and fire is much more needed than Carson’s just change the format so there can be more dialogue.