If Trump wins the nomination will likely run against the most unpopular democrat of all time. Hillary's negatives are colossal and she might even be indicted during the campaign. Her best hope is to run a dirty and negative campaign because she has no accomplishments to run on and many to run from. She is counting on the woman's vote because women tend to move in packs together. It was the female demographic much more than the black demographic that elected Obama. Donald will hear a never ending chorus of "war on women" "misogynist", "war on women"...ad nauseam. I believe that Hillary's strategy will ultimately fail. No self-respecting man wants an ugly shrew to be his boss and enough women are attracted to the wealth and self assurance of Trump that he is likely to split the woman's vote. The establishment republicans will circle the wagons and hold their nose to keep Hillary out while setting their sights on frustrating him in office in hopes of a single term president. So if Trump is the nominee I think his chances are pretty good to win.
But I'm still all in for Cruz, the most consistent, constitutional conservative in the race; not because I think he is the best hope of winning, but because he currently best hope for America!