If you don’t study history, you’ll repeat it.
Cruz’ real competition in Iowa is Carson. Steve Deace has already endorsed Cruz and the other power players will make the key decision between Cruz and Carson.
The outside chance for Trump is that Cruz and Carson split the vote so equally that Trump squeaks out a win. Cruz’ needs to figure out how to marginalize Carson to get the win in Iowa. Trump will hit a ceiling there and not be a threat to him.
Again, Cruz will come in fourth. Carson may be appealing for now, but HE-—and not Trump-—will be the one to fade when his “specifics” aren’t so specific. Still waiting on his gun plan, his immigration plan, his . . . .
I think Walker was Cruz’s biggest threat, and now, I think you’re right, it’s Carson. Carson seems to have great appeal in Iowa, but I’m thinking (hoping) that Cruz’s experience will win the day.
“Bob Vander Plaats, head of The Family Leader, a Christian group in Iowa, said he believes Mr. Cruz has the best infrastructure of support in the Hawkeye State and said that some of the other candidates eyeing the conservative mantle are struggling to keep pace.