If Trump or anyone got 1 million black votes that voted (D) in the last election, it would equal 2 million new voters because of (D)-1 Million and (R)+1 Million.
In a close popular vote 52-48 the effect would be devastating as 1.5% changes sides to 50.5-49.5.
The vote switching effect is a big deal to the parties. It is the main reason that Reagan went from 50.8% in 1980 to 58.8% in 1984.
This will get really interesting when hard numbers on Hispanics comes out ( which heavily influences the other six swing states ). A similar 5-10% change has a magnified efefct as they are 16% or more of the population at present. In theory, Trump *could* actually win this thing just be picking off a chunk of these two voting blocks.
This will get really interesting when hard numbers on Hispanics comes out ( which heavily influences the other six swing states ). A similar 5-10% change has a magnified efefct as they are 16% or more of the population at present. In theory, Trump *could* actually win this thing just be picking off a chunk of these two voting blocks.
This is why Trump is not touching social issues and focusing on economics, IMO. If he can peel off a few points from all Dem constituents across the board he will win in a landslide.