Got one for ya.
The Donald could win NY.
1-Union support because he’s against the disastrous trade deals.
2-Big Money support, because he’s a New York business man.
3-Populous & 2nd Amendment support for Upstate.
4-Working/Married women, not baby killing leftists.
5-Young Republicans and other Millenials are sick to death of Obambi.
Leaving off the socialist west coast, if he can hold his own with NYC ethnics and Catholics, we could have another Landslide. More along the lines of Red/White&Blue Rockefeller type than a Communist Fighting Reagan.
NY is more a Labor Union state than a Liberal voting state. Sometimes they diverge.
Remember - Nixon carried NY 58% with the Hardhats and Teamsters. Only the Progressive 5 Boroughs went Mcky G. ( from “Wikipedia”)
I’m pretty heavily involved in aspects of #3...and I have been surprised at the number and intensity of 2nd A supporters in NY.
So...you are right (in my experience) and I think your point #3 is very important.
I hope Trump comes out as strongly pro gun.