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To: Jim Robinson

Tonight was about not making mistakes for all and convincing donors to put money on you in the race for many of the others.

There are two people in the race that don’t need money and just needed not to make a major blunder, Trump and Bush.

Both succeeded. But unfortunately for them, no one else blundered either. Those other eight, though, needed to convince donors to put in some more cash. Some did, some didn’t.

My predictions:

Trump adds 5 points to his lead.

Carson adds 3 points and pulls in more financing, which he desperately needs.

Cruz adds 3 points and keeps building organization and funds. He is in a good position through Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina with this performance.

Walker adds 1 point and keeps his money people content. He needs to do better in the next debate, though.

Paul adds 1 point but loses donors. Just not a good enough job to keep the money coming in. Unless he breaks out in the next month, he will be scrambling to get on the ballot in Iowa.

Huckabee loses 2 points and sees the writing on the wall. He needed a couple of people to make a mistake tonight and give him an opening. Just didn’t happen.

Christie loses 2 points and his fundraising stops cold. Just nothing there that inspires more money to be sent his way.

Rubio loses 3 points and starts to find trouble with donors that will spill over into organizational “reshuffling” in early September. He will start sinking as he has fewer and fewer events.

Bush loses 5 points and there is a scramble behind the scenes to “reinvent” him. Can’t ride his name anymore and what they are doing isn’t working. Slides into third place behind Walker in the next month and the presumption of his nomination is scoffed at. But he has plenty of money to make it into March as it is, so his money people play it safe for a while.

Kasich loses almost all of his support and folds in the next two weeks.


2,763 posted on 08/06/2015 8:25:04 PM PDT by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius

Insightful analysis


2,788 posted on 08/06/2015 8:27:27 PM PDT by Rome2000 (SMASH THE CPUSA)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius

Maygen Kelly is history. I have turned her off. She was a roger ailes whore. She got kicked right in the face by a real man.
Trump won . He was awesome. Rubio blew his foot off by supporting amnesty with upchuck Schumer!! Huckabee came in second. Wow what a leader!! . Next was Ben Carson and 4th was Carley Fiorina. Bush is gone. Walker is totally lite weight gone. And I can’t name the rest.
You had a lousey 10 million watching out of 130 million voting. I said early that if Trump shows up he wins. He won!! He was awesome!! Megan Kelly is finished. What a bitch whore for the establishment. I will never watch her again. But she turned out to be a punch out doll for Donald and she was knocked out. Adios Megan. What a whore.


2,859 posted on 08/06/2015 8:34:20 PM PDT by WENDLE (Make America great again.)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius

I think you are wrong on most of your assessments. I’m no Rubio guy but he came across very, very well. And everyone I heard comment, so far, thinks that Huckabee did a great job. Cruz had the best closing statement; it was awesome.


2,867 posted on 08/06/2015 8:35:10 PM PDT by Din Maker (Either Carly Fiorina or GOP Gov. Susana Martinez of NM for VP)
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