You're basing your "Trump has a chance" assessment on polls, are you not? You do know there isn't a single poll out there that shows Trump beating Hillary, Sanders or even Biden. Trump, when matched up vs. the dems, has the worst showing.
And since you've unleashed the "idiot/liar" invectives, anyone who thinks Trump will win the White House, especially in a third-party scenario, is not only an idiot AND a liar...but a dope-smoking one.
Nothing in life, especially in politics has no chance. Anyone who makes that claim is an idiot or a liar. One may say its very unlikely but to say its not possible is wrong.