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To: Hawthorn

We are a year out as people remind us.

Why do you think Trump would lose in one of those contests? I can see him losing to walker...but Bush?


36 posted on 07/22/2015 12:01:50 PM PDT by TNMOUTH
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To: TNMOUTH

>> Why do you think Trump would lose in one of those contests? I can see him losing to walker...but Bush? <<

In the first place, I doubt Trump has the “staying power” that’s necessary for remaining competitive over the next 12 months. Even if he doesn’t himself get bored with the primary process after he has had his current moments of glory, I’ll bet that a lot of his potential supporters will eventually get awfully bored with his boorish behavior.

In the second place, the poll data I’ve seen show that even though Trump now leads the GOP field, his disapproval percentages among the GOP electorate are higher than his approval percentages. That’s not exactly a winning formula for a two-man race.

In the third place, even though the expressions of anti-Bush sentiment on FR are extremely powerful and widespread, I don’t think FR is representative of the GOP electorate as a whole. If matters ever came down to Bush vs. Trump, I think the electorate-cum-primary process that selected McCain and Romney would eventually go for Bush.

(But put me down as a strong Walker fan!)


38 posted on 07/22/2015 1:38:47 PM PDT by Hawthorn
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