Can't find anything to challenge in your assessment.
Cheering on Trump isn't much different than jumping on a bucking bronco, giving the crowd a big show, then being bucked off before the buzzer.
If Trump does nothing else at least he’s gotten some attention focused upon the
upcoming GOP primary.
The first debate is schedule for August 6, 2015 or 21 days hence. Three weeks out and
Trump has center stage at this point. Imo as time goes on that will change and others
will take some time up front.
The following debate after Fox is on Sept 16, 2015 or 41 days later. During that
time it will be interesting to follow the ups and downs of the candidates.
Over 460 candidates have filed the FEC Form 2 as a presidential candidate for
the 2016 election. Most have no chance but a few will drive the public discourse.
....FEC Form 2 candidate filers ....
http://www.fec.gov/press/resources/2016presidential_form2dt.shtml