Whoops, the imports will drop even less than half a million. While the production is projected to climb half a million, the consumption is projected to grow 0.34 MMBPD, so imports will likely only fall 0.16 MMBPD.
Total U.S. liquid fuels consumption rose by an estimated 70,000 b/d (0.4%) in 2014. In 2015, total liquid fuels consumption is forecast to grow by 340,000 b/d (1.8%). EIA projects that in 2016, liquid fuels consumption growth will slow to 70,000 b/d (0.4%).
New energy projection: 2016 outlook no higher, but 2015 production projection up to 9.43 mmbpd, up .72 mmbpd from 2014.