Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Commodity Prices Set To Plunge Below 2008 Lows
TMO ^ | 2-26-2015 | Austin Galt

Posted on 02/26/2015 11:37:16 AM PST by blam

February 26, 2015
Austin Galt

This analysis will cover the CRB Continuous Commodity Index, the US Dollar index and one of the main commodity currencies, the Australian dollar.

We’ll begin with the CRB Continuous Commodity Index which comprises a mixture of components from sectors including energy, metals, soft commodities and agriculture.

(snip)

If this analysis is correct, it means a big deflationary spiral is dead ahead that will see market participants wide-eyed with fear. However, there should be a significant rally before then which will allow many to get their houses in order.

And once this deflationary spiral has run its course, an inflationary bang of epic proportions should commence that will go down in history as one for the ages.

(Excerpt) Read more at marketoracle.co.uk ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: commodities; investing; prices
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-45 next last
The Voodoo Analyst

Austin Galt is The Voodoo Analyst. I have studied charts for over 20 years and am currently a private trader. Several years ago I worked as a licensed advisor with a well known Australian stock broker. While there was an abundance of fundamental analysts, there seemed to be a dearth of technical analysts. My aim here is to provide my view of technical analysis that is both intriguing and misunderstood by many. I like to refer to it as the black magic of stock market analysis.

1 posted on 02/26/2015 11:37:16 AM PST by blam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: blam

If this analysis is correct, it means a big deflationary spiral is dead ahead that will see market participants wide-eyed with fear. However, there should be a significant rally before then which will allow many to get their houses in order.

And once this deflationary spiral has run its course, an inflationary bang of epic proportions should commence that will go down in history as one for the ages.


I couldn’t agree more with this statement.

Deflation is a Bitch.


2 posted on 02/26/2015 11:41:06 AM PST by Zeneta (Thoughts in time and out of season.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: C19fan; Kartographer; Jet Jaguar

Gold Is the Worst Investment in History


3 posted on 02/26/2015 11:42:33 AM PST by blam (Jeff Sessions For President)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Zeneta

And once this deflationary spiral has run its course, an inflationary bang of epic proportions should commence that will go down in history as one for the ages.


Yup. Deflation followed by price hyperinflation. It’s why I’ve not sold a single piece of junk silver - ever. I only buy. I have no doubt that the day is coming “fairly soon” where $50 silver will seem like a bargain. But first it will be cheap. Probably cheaper than it is now.


4 posted on 02/26/2015 11:48:57 AM PST by cuban leaf (The US will not survive the obama presidency. The world may not either.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: cuban leaf

There’s seems to be no other way around this scenario playing out.

The FED has done their best to forestall this cycle with QE et al, but the underlying conditions remain.

BTW, I can’t blame the FED for trying if you consider the position they were in.

Some folks here think “Deflation” would be a good thing. Higher US Dollar and their increased buying power. If they recalled a little history, there was a time during the US Depression of the 1930’s in which people were out of work and hungry and the producers of food were dumping their stocks in an effort to gain some pricing power.


5 posted on 02/26/2015 12:00:48 PM PST by Zeneta (Thoughts in time and out of season.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: blam

Quick. Put your life savings in shorting corn futures and we’ll check up on you in six months!


6 posted on 02/26/2015 12:08:11 PM PST by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Zeneta

The video is the best illustration, especially when you see the child in the video as us adults 40 years ago. The day has come.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Li0no7O9zmE


7 posted on 02/26/2015 12:10:19 PM PST by cuban leaf (The US will not survive the obama presidency. The world may not either.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: blam

Who is Austin Galt?


8 posted on 02/26/2015 12:12:31 PM PST by john316 (JOSHUA 24:15 ...choose you this day whom ye will serve...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cuban leaf

I’ll call your video and raise it with this;

Fight of the Century: Keynes vs. Hayek Round Two

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTQnarzmTOc


9 posted on 02/26/2015 12:16:37 PM PST by Zeneta (Thoughts in time and out of season.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Zeneta

Some folks here think “Deflation” would be a good thing. Higher US Dollar and their increased buying power. If they recalled a little history, there was a time during the US Depression of the 1930’s in which people were out of work and hungry and the producers of food were dumping their stocks in an effort to gain some pricing power.

Inflation is Pure Theft of VALUE by the Money-Changers and the Government. 98% of the Value of our Dollar has been STOLEN by both since the creation of the Federal Reserve Corporation in 1913.

1. Deflation is a good thing for those not in debt, it will take a whole lot of deflation just to get back to 1971 when the THEFT of VALUE really took off. For those with DEBT, life Sucks and will really Suck soon.

2. The depression had a 25% unemployment Rate, I would argue it is MUCH Higher right now, 102 Million Americans of Working Age are Unemployed, there are only 93 Million Tax Filers, 50 Million are collecting Food Stamps, welfare, subsidized utilities,... there is a whole host of WELFARE programs that we Never Had before, which is how it is all hidden, if we had soup lines and massive little Obama camps like they did in the 30’s there would have been a Revolution Already.


10 posted on 02/26/2015 12:24:27 PM PST by eyeamok
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: blam

"Pork bellies! I have a hunch something exciting is going to happen in the pork belly market this morning."

11 posted on 02/26/2015 12:26:15 PM PST by dfwgator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: eyeamok
Inflation is Pure Theft of VALUE by the Money-Changers and the Government. 98% of the Value of our Dollar has been STOLEN by both since the creation of the Federal Reserve Corporation in 1913.

Serious question, how does the reduced value of my savings end up in the pockets of money changers and government?

I realize inflation is a bad thing for me, I just don't understand how it benefits them.

Thanks in advance.

12 posted on 02/26/2015 12:34:47 PM PST by theymakemesick (Democrats Lie Cheat Steal Destroy. Period. They are a filthy stain on Life and Freedom)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: eyeamok

I tend to agree with some of what you posted, however when you invoke the “Money Changers” it smells of conspiracy thinking.

Inflation is theft but it can be dealt with.

Deflation is NOT A GOOD THING.

We are in a deflationary cycle now, and if you think unemployment is bad now, well, it’s going to get a lot worse.

So, if you are without debt and have lots of cash and have no need to get that cash from being employed?, then deflation will be your best friend as your buying power goes through the roof.

But most of America is NOT in that situation.


13 posted on 02/26/2015 12:38:33 PM PST by Zeneta (Thoughts in time and out of season.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: blam

Market is going to collapse.... but it’s going to rally first. Huhh....OK


14 posted on 02/26/2015 12:39:52 PM PST by Blackirish
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: theymakemesick

Those first in line for the Newly Printed/Created money get the most value out of it, they can buy tangible property that retains that value with the new money before it has lost it’s value, and since it is new and free to them and a lot of it, prices naturally rise as a result. However Every time a Dollar changes hands it loses value, by the time it filters through the government and the banks and wall street down to the regular society, prices have already gone up and the value has been stolen before you ever saw it.

I would suggest mises.org for some good reading on Money, or The Creature from Jekyl Island which is available online for free, best book on money I ever read.


15 posted on 02/26/2015 12:48:22 PM PST by eyeamok
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Zeneta

But most of America is NOT in that situation.

And that is by design, All Debt Based Monetary systems are destined to collapse under their own weight.

Inflation is theft but it can be dealt with.

CORRECT, Counterfeiting is a Hanging Offense, It is also one of only 3 crimes found in the US Constitution, and always was until the 3rd Central Bank came into play. But since we know all this “inflation” since 1971 was COUNTERFEITED money, removing the Counterfeited Money(DEBT) only Restores value(Deflation) that was previously STOLEN through Inflation.

It is NOT REAL Deflation,it is a restoration of value that was previously STOLEN. Don’t worry it will be real bad for most either way.


16 posted on 02/26/2015 12:58:08 PM PST by eyeamok
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: eyeamok

Listen, we can talk about the way things used to be and how things should be or we can deal with the way things actually are today.


17 posted on 02/26/2015 1:04:36 PM PST by Zeneta (Thoughts in time and out of season.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Blackirish

Blow-off top.


18 posted on 02/26/2015 1:11:43 PM PST by petercooper ("How To Destroy The Country In 6 Short Years" by Barack Obama & the Democrats)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: eyeamok
Those first in line for the Newly Printed/Created money get the most value out of it,

Goldman Sachs sells a US Treasury yielding 3%, to the Fed, gets cash yielding 0.25%. When does Goldman get value out of that trade? Spell it out.

they can buy tangible property that retains that value with the new money

If I sell my Treasury at the same time, do I get some cool benefit?

before it has lost it’s value, and since it is new and free to them

Free? LOL! They had to sell a higher yielding bond to get it. Free? That's funny!

The Creature from Jekyl Island which is available online for free,

That's about what it's worth.

best book on money I ever read.

I guess that explains your confusion.

19 posted on 02/26/2015 1:13:13 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: eyeamok
But since we know all this “inflation” since 1971 was COUNTERFEITED money

Counterfeited? I'm afraid to ask what you mean.

20 posted on 02/26/2015 1:15:06 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-45 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson