Like zerohedge was saying.
1. Greek govt will print billions of “new drachmae” right before exit.
2. Greek govt will exit and set value of New Drachma to 1-1 on the EU.
3. Greek govt will repay debt by dumping new currency on EU
And the value of the dollar after this happens?
Countries like Greece, Italy, Spain, etc. may decide to drop out of the EU one-by-one. I would imagine that if the EU stands firm, that the euro will go up sharply after each deadbeat nation leaves, and then start drifting back toward earth as investors realize nothing has really changed.