If oil prices stay low for the next 3-4 months, then what do you see happening to the transport companies, the derivatives, and the markets?
The bond market is the key. Based on what I am reading...on both the mainstream media and the fringe stuff.
I think the oil issue is the catalyst, but once the derivatives fail it will/could roll downhill from there.
Consider what happen in Switzerland last week. Billions were lost in minutes. That could be the trigger. If that happened in Hong Kong the whole house of cards comes down.
It is all connected.