And what’s the life span of the newly frack’d deposits? 18mo, 24mo.? At $60 are they seriously going to gamble on moving the pipes around when so many people who entered at $100/barrel have just gone bust? Who’s going to lend to them at that point (seen all the articles about the the amount of leverage out there in oil plays?).
Typical well will flow for several decades. Not at the same rate as initially, but 30~40 years easy.
I don't think you understand the production side very well.
I probably overstated the life span.
Say 25 years easy, 40 years or more maybe.