[Gideon7]

I wonder if there might be a preference cascade looming. If it becomes obvious halfway through the vote that Boehner won’t make it on the first tally...

[Paine in the Neck]

I wonder if there might be a preference cascade looming

I'm hoping. They have to be aware of their constituents red hot anger at Boehner. If they see that they can escape with their committee positions intact they'll try to appease their constituents instead of Boehner.

[smoothsailing]

If my numbers are right, Boehner needs less than 20 more votes and the “others” are stuck at 24. Not good.