” the average Senate poll conducted in the final three weeks of this years campaign overestimated the Democrats performance by 4 percentage points. The average gubernatorial poll was just as bad, also overestimating the Democrats performance by 4 points.”
A good chunk of that has to be Texas, and since we finally had one man, one vote (i.e., Voter ID) in this election, the polls were way understating the margin of victory. The polls here were showing a 10-12 point victory, but the average margin was 10 points higher than that.
Interesting.
I wonder if there is a way to prove that this election (in Texas) was different (an fairer) than in the past. It would be handy when Holder claims that there isn’t voter fraud.