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It's Coming: $65 Oil {Good News / Bad News}
The Atlantic ^ | OCT 28 2014 | DEREK THOMPSON

Posted on 10/30/2014 4:47:37 AM PDT by thackney

Gas prices are falling below $3 a gallon across the United States for two big reasons: (1) the world economy is growing slower than we hoped, and (2) global oil production is improving faster than we expected.

"India and China are slowing down,” said Charles K. Ebinger, director of the Energy Security Initiative at Brookings. "The IMF just downgraded Europe’s growth to less than 1 percent, and they're already quite energy efficient. Brazil’s a problem, too. All around the world there is no great growth story, and expectations are that things will stay that way or get worse."

There is also unanticipated supply. A few years ago, political turmoil was taking up to 2 million barrels a day off the market. Now production is roaring back in Libya, southern Sudan, Yemen, Nigeria, and even Iraq, and the global price of crude has fallen about 25 percent in the last five months. It's the same old story: low demand, high supply, etc.

Andrew John Hall, the alleged "God" of oil trading, is predicting $150 barrels within the next five years. But the deeper you dig, the more reasons you find to be down on the price of oil in the near future. "Japan’s announcement that they’re starting two reactors means that there will be less oil import for Japan,” Ebinger said. Second, there are industrial shifts that are reducing oil’s share in the energy market. For example, many U.S. companies are using natural gas rather than petroleum products to power their refineries. Third, hedge funds...

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; oil
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To: thackney

Our knowledge bases complement each other—my job is all about what is happening in the ground. Even when I’m at work, I’m two miles or more away...


81 posted on 10/31/2014 8:35:04 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: thackney
Quick question, how many of the outfits predicting prices are beholden for bailout money? Maybe a favor in a bad looking election year?

Just an observation, but the price seems to drop in election years and predictions have a way of becoming self-fulfilling prophesy until market factors reassert themselves (6 mos to a year).

82 posted on 10/31/2014 8:44:12 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Smokin' Joe

Heck those are not even predictions, just guess at what each place can afford.


83 posted on 10/31/2014 8:48:53 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: GeronL

Google it


84 posted on 11/01/2014 7:41:06 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: Jack Hydrazine
They’ll drop until about mid-December.

That's why I bought stocks that are plays on oil. I bought about a month early...damn...lol.

A normal winter will help considerably.

85 posted on 11/01/2014 7:50:14 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Mississippi!)
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To: Hessian
Ethyl hates that.

I bet she does:


86 posted on 11/01/2014 8:06:18 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Mississippi!)
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To: Night Hides Not

For the eastern half of the US it is going to be a brutal winter. Don’t know if that’ll help you any.


87 posted on 11/01/2014 6:48:57 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: Night Hides Not

Take a look at what Joe Bastardi says about the winter.
http://www.weatherbell.com/saturday-summary-november-1-2014


88 posted on 11/01/2014 6:53:15 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: Cruz_West_Paul2016

hang on, I have the SS on the line...I will ask...


89 posted on 11/01/2014 6:54:48 PM PDT by Delta Dawn (Fluent in two languages: English and cursive.)
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To: Red Badger

Google the phrase “we will never see $3 gas again”... there are MANY exact matches, and soooo many are from 2008.


90 posted on 11/01/2014 7:02:55 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Night Hides Not

Gold and silver continue to drop!


91 posted on 11/02/2014 9:29:41 AM PST by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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